In this article, we empirically explore the psychometric properties of some of the most famous statistical and logical cognitive illusions in the heuristic and bias research project of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, which proposed Linda “Wason” nearly 50 years ago. Fascinating puzzles such as questions. Selected paper tasks and so-called Bayesian thinking tasks (for example, mammography tasks). In this article, we studied the famous statistical and logical cognitive illusions in the heuristic and bias research project of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky from the perspective of psychometrics. The cognitive illusion they subsequently proposed provided empirical evidence that human reasoning ability violated the laws of logic and probability. Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky used a large number of so-called “cognitive illusions” to demonstrate the psychological, verbal, and mathematical possibilities of human error in statistics and logical reasoning. Explanation (Tversky and Kahneman, 1974; Kahneman et al., 1982)… [Sources: 0]
The basic premise of this book is that there are far more fundamental biases in human judgment. We usually think of bias in the context of underlying motives or interests, especially in the political realm. Even when we have perfectly correct information and are free from motivational biases, we still make the wrong decisions. [Sources: 2]
However, surprisingly, hospital problem-solving rates have changed a lot since then. Integrating the underlying data from Book E of Intuitive Judgments is called regression and results in more accurate estimates. The authors consider an example of how Rorschach blot tests were used to assess whether patients were homosexual or not. [Sources: 0, 2]
For example, if a student does not do well in school, he is more likely to find him lazy than to consider the circumstances in his home. [Sources: 2]
Even when basic speed data is provided, people rarely take it into account using their original data rather than specific numbers from scientific research. While most people would agree that skill and luck have a lot in common, a full understanding of how inextricably linked they are remains to be achieved. In situations of ability, there is a causal relationship between behavior and outcome. Another good example is exploring how people can be overconfident about quick calculations. [Sources: 1, 2]
— Slimane Zouggari
##### Sources #####
[0]: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2021.584689/full
[1]: https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/judgment-under-uncertainty/illusion-of-control/A338AC4C785CABF7E40EF3FF5F017F58
[2]: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/125967.Judgment_Under_Uncertainty